The mission of the Grassroots Democrats HQ for the 2023-2024 election cycle is to Elect Democrats Everywhere: to the White House, Congress, and key state legislatures. In 2024, we are working to elect Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, take back the House, and defend our Senate majority.
2024 Senate Targets
About Arizona
Incumbent: Kyrsten Sinema (I)*
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +0.3
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2018 Results
Kyrsten Sinema (D) – 50.0%
Martha McSally (R) – 47.6%
*Sen. Sinema left the Democratic Party in 2022.
Our Candidate: Ruben Gallegos
Ruben Gallegos is the son of Mexican and Columbian immigrants, a Marine Corps Veteran, and former four-term member of Congress representing Arizona's Third District. He is running for Senate to level the playing field for working families and ensure that all Arizonans have the same shot at the American Dream that he did.
About Maryland
Incumbent: Ben Cardin (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +33.2
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2018 Results
Debbie Stabenow (D) – 64.9%
Tony Campbell (R) – 30.3%
About Michigan
Incumbent: Debbie Stabenow (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +2.8
Forecaster Rating: Lean Democrat
2018 Results
Debbie Stabenow (D) – 52.3%
John James (R) – 45.8%
Our Candidate: Rep. Elissa Slotkin
Elissa believes that our government works best when we have two healthy parties that debate the big issues facing Americans. She has always tried to work across the aisle on issues like bringing critical supply chains back home, but she always stood her ground when it comes to issues of principle, like protecting our rights and our democracy.
About Montana
Incumbent: Jon Tester (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Trump +16.4
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2018 Results
Jon Tester (D) – 50.3%
Matt Rosendale (R) – 46.8%
Our Candidate: Senator Jon Tester
Senator Jon Tester is a third-generation Montana farmer, a proud grandfather, and a former school teacher who has deep roots in hard work, responsibility and accountability.
About Nevada
Incumbent: Jacky Rosen (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +2.4
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2018 Results
Jacky Rosen (D) – 50.4%
Dean Heller (R) – 45.4%
Our Candidate: Senator Jacky Rosen
U.S. Senator Jacky Rosen is a fighter for Nevada’s hardworking families, an independent voice standing up for her state, and a problem solver who knows how to bring people together to deliver smart, bipartisan solutions in Washington.
About Ohio
Incumbent: Sherrod Brown (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Trump +8.0
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2018 Results
Sherrod Brown (D) – 53.4%
Jim Renacci (R) – 46.6%
Our Candidate: Senator Sherrod Brown
Sherrod has dedicated his life to fighting for Ohioans and the Dignity of Work. It’s the belief that hard work should pay off for everyone, no matter who you are, where you live, or what kind of work you do. Whether you punch a clock or swipe a badge, earn a salary or make tips, are raising children or caring for an aging parent, Sherrod is fighting for you.
About Pennsylvania
Incumbent: Bob Casey Jr. (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +1.2
Forecaster Rating: Lean Democrat
2018 Results
Bob Casey Jr. (D) – 55.7%
Lou Barletta (R) – 42.6%
Our Candidate: Senator Bob Casey Jr.
With so much on the line for Pennsylvania’s working families, Bob Casey is ready to keep delivering results for Pennsylvania. He’s working to cut through the gridlock, stand up to powerful corporate special interests, and make the lives of hardworking Pennsylvanians a little bit easier.
About Texas
Incumbent: Ted Cruz (R)
2020 Presidential Results: Trump +5.6
Forecaster Rating: Lean Republican
2018 Results
Ted Cruz (R) – 50.9%
Beto O'Rourke (D) – 48.3%
About Pennsylvania
Incumbent: Tammy Baldwin (D)
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +0.6
Forecaster Rating: Lean Democrat
2018 Results
Tammy Baldwin (D) – 55.4%
Leah Vukmir (R) – 44.5%
Our Candidate: Senator Tammy Baldwin
Tammy has spent her entire career fighting to do right by Wisconsin families. She stands up for our workers, our veterans, our students, and our small business owners who need someone in Washington working for them.
2024 House Targets
The road to a Democratic House majority in 2024 runs through California. Democrats only need to flip 4 seats nationwide to win back control of the chamber, and California is home to 5 districts that were won by President Biden in 2020 but are currently represented by extremist Republicans. If we in these races, along with protecting our most vulnerable blue seats in California, Democrats will be poised to flip the House next November.
About CA-3
Incumbent: Kevin Kiley (R)
Key Communities: East Sacramento Suburbs, Sierra Nevada
2020 Presidential Results: Trump +2
Forecaster Rating: Likely Republican
2022 Results
Kevin Kiley (R) – 53.6%
Kermit Jones (D) – 46.4%
Our Candidate: Jessica Morse
When Jessica Morse sees a problem, she runs toward it and will not stop until it is fixed. The drive to tackle tough issues has shaped her career choices and commitment to public service. A fifth-generation Northern Californian, Jessica’s ancestors crossed the Sierra on covered wagons and settled in the Sierra foothills. Today, Jessica and her family remain stewards of these lands, giving her a unique understanding in her job helping protect Californians from wildfire.
About CA-9
Incumbent: Josh Harder (D)
Key Communities: San Joaquin County
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +12
Forecaster Rating: Likely Democrat
2022 Results
Josh Harder (D) – 54.8%
Tom Patti (R) – 45.2%
Our Candidate: Rep. Josh Harder
Josh is currently serving his third term in Congress on behalf of families in the Central Valley where he’s fighting to protect our access to health care, create good-paying jobs, and reform our broken immigration system. He’s also focused on securing and growing the Valley’s water supply.
About CA-13
Incumbent: John Duarte (R)
Key Communities: Fresno, Merced, and Stanislaus Counties
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +10
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2022 Results
John Duarte (R) – 50.2%
Adam Gray (D) – 49.8%
Our Candidate: Adam Gray
For nearly a decade in the Assembly, Adam has fought to protect the Central Valley's water from the State Water Grab, increase access to health care for underserved communities, and improve quality of life by reducing crime and creating jobs. Now he's asking for the opportunity to bring that fight to Washington.
About CA-22
Incumbent: David Valadao (R)
Key Communities: Kern, Kings, and Tulare Counties
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +13
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2022 Results
David Valadao (R) – 51.5%
Rudy Salas (D) – 48.5%
Our Candidate: Rudy Salas
Born and raised in the Central Valley, Rudy Salas is a lifelong Valley resident and South High School graduate who worked his way from working in the fields with his father to graduating from UCLA and becoming the first Latino Bakersfield City Councilmember in its 112-year history. During his five terms in the California State Assembly, Rudy Salas stood by his commitment to take a stand for Central Valley families and deliver for the region.
About CA-27
Incumbent: Mike Garcia
Key Communities: Antelope Valley, North San Fernando Valley, Santa Clarita
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +12
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2022 Results
Mike Garcia (R) – 53.2%
Christy Smith (D) – 46.8%
Our Candidate: George Whitesides
As a local leader, former NASA Chief of Staff and aerospace entrepreneur, George Whitesides is committed to moving Southern California forward. Now, he’s ready to deliver for CA-27. In Congress, he will be committed to creating great jobs in the district, finding solutions to the wildfire crisis, protecting a woman's right to choose and protecting Social Security and Medicare for seniors.
About CA-41
Incumbent: Ken Calvert (R)
Key Communities: Southwest Riverside County, Coachella Valley
2020 Presidential Results: Trump +1
Forecaster Rating: Toss-Up
2022 Results
Ken Calvert (R) – 52.3%
Will Rollins (D) – 47.7%
Our Candidate: Will Rollins
Will is a former federal prosecutor who focused on counterterrorism and counterintelligence cases in Southern California. He's running for Congress to fight back against corruption in Washington, and end the toxic divisions that prevent Congress from getting things done for working families.
About CA-45
Incumbent: Michelle Steel (R)
Key Communities: Central & North Orange County
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +6
Forecaster Rating: Lean Republican
2022 Results
Michelle Steel (R) – 52.4%
Jay Chen (D) – 47.6%
Our Candidate: Derek Tran
Derek Tran is an Army Veteran, Consumer Rights Attorney, City Commissioner, and Small Business Owner who is running for Congress to fight for Californians. At a time when corporations are raking in record profits and customers are paying more for basic goods and services, Derek holds bad actors accountable, ensuring that individuals not special interests get the justice they deserve.
About CA-47
Incumbent: N/A
Key Communities: Coastal Orange County
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +11
Forecaster Rating: Lean Democrat
2022 Results
Katie Porter (D) – 51.7%
Scott Baugh (R) – 48.3%
Our Candidate: Dave Min
A first-generation Korean-American and a product of California public schools, Dave is running for Congress to preserve the American Dream that brought his parents to this country, centered around the core values of diversity and opportunity. Dave has continued to champion those same values in the California State Senate, taking on MAGA extremists and working tirelessly to create an economy that uplifts Orange County’s working families.
About CA-49
Incumbent: Mike Levin (D)
Key Communities: South Orange County, North San Diego County
2020 Presidential Results: Biden +11
Forecaster Rating: Lean Democrat
2022 Results
Mike Levin (D) – 52.6%
Bryan Maryott (R) – 47.4%
Our Candidate: Rep. Mike Levin
Since his first term in Congress began in January 2019, Mike has established himself as a leader on climate action, clean energy, and veterans affairs. He has authored more than a dozen bills that have been signed into law with bipartisan support and has brought back millions in federal support to the 49th District.
About MT-1
Incumbent: Ryan Zinke (R)
Key Communities: Western Montana
2020 Presidential Results: Trump +7
Forecaster Rating: Likely Republican
2022 Results
Ryan Zinke (R) – 49.6%
Monica Tranel (D) – 46.5%
Our Candidate: Monica Tranel
Monica Tranel was raised with her nine brothers and sisters on a ranch in eastern Montana. As an attorney, she has taken on out-of-state billionaires and corporate monopolies to stop them from ripping off Montanans. Now, she's running for Congress to hold those who want to profit off the backs of everyday Montanans accountable and focus on bringing down costs for everyone.
*MT-1 overlaps with our efforts to support Sen. Jon Tester's re-election in Montana.